|
Geoffrey Evans and Stephen Whitefield, "Economic Ideology
and Political Success: Communist successor Parties in the
Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary Compared," Party
Politics , 1 (October, 1995), 565-578.
First paragraph:
There has been considerable variation in both the electoral
strategies and fortunes of communist successor parties in
east-central Europe. In the Czech Republic, the dominant
party is Vaclav Klaus's Civic Democratic Party with its
sustained commitment to liberal market reforms. Against it,
the Communist Party of Bohemia and Moravia (CPBM) is widely
perceived to occupy an ideologically extreme position on the
left of the political spectrum,symbolized by the fact that,
alone among the successor parties in the region, it chose to
retain its old name (Wightman, 1993; Ishiyama,
1995;Mansfeldova and Kitschelt, 1995). It performed
reasonably well in the 1992 elections but has declined in
support since by comparison with the social-democratic
Czechoslovak Social Democratic Party (CSDP) (Obrman,1993).
In Slovakia, by contrast, the most powerful party to emerge
from Public Against Violence, 1989, was Vladimir Meciar's
Movement for a Democratic Slovakia, which aligned itself not
only to greater Slovak independence but to a much more
cautious programme of economic reform. The
communist-successor Slovak Party of the Democratic Left
(PDL) has fared reasonably well over two elections under
these conditions while presenting an image of a moderate and
modernizing movement (Butorova and Butora, 1995;Ishiyama,
1995). Clearly, the most successful electoral performance
has been that of the former communist party in Hungary
which, as the Hungarian Socialist Party (HSP), has stood on
a platform of support for a social safety net while
continuing in a more competent manner with
marketization,which it can claim to have begun while still
in power. After an initial poor showing in the 1990
elections, it emerged with a plurality of the votes in the
elections of May 1994 (Racz, 1993; Evans and
Whitefield,1995a; Ishiyama, 1995; Keri and Levendel,
1995).
Figures and Tables:
Table 1: Attitudes towards economic policy among
communist-successor-party supporters in the Czech Republic,
Slovakia and Hungary (percentage agreeing with each
statement).
Figure 1: Economic ideology: distributions by country and
position of communist-successor party supporters.
Figure 2: Left-right self-placement: distributions by
country and position of communist successor-party
supporters.
Table 2: Economic experiences and expectations in the Czech
Republic, Slovakia and Hungary (percentage agreeing with
each statement).
Table 3: Predicting economic ideology and left-right
self-placement: pooled regression analyses for the Czech
Republic, Slovakia, and Hungary (standardized beta
coefficients).
Last Paragraph:
In the Czech lands, the CPBM appears to face the greatest
obstacles and must either move much further to the right -
which might be difficult given its current support and the
reputation it has established with voters - or await a very
significant reorientation of public opinion in the light of
economic failure. In Hungary, the possibilities are likely
to be much more open. The HSP has established itself as near
to the centre of public opinion on the economy;however, it
must now not only assume responsibility for its performance
but be prepared to adjust its stance with any success in
marketization which results from its tenure in office. In
Slovakia, the PDL faces another set of difficulties in
ideological competition. Standing close to the mean position
on the economy alongside the ruling party, it may find it
hard to benefit either from the success or failure of
cautious marketization.Apart from emphasizing greater
competence on these questions, therefore,its greatest change
may derive not from its stance on the economy at all,but
from its distinctive position from the MDS on the other
issues of significance to electoral competition in Slovakia,
especially those concerned with ethnic rights.
|