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Holly Brasher, "The Dynamic
Character of Political Party Evaluations," Party
Politics, 15 (January, 2009), 69-92.
First paragraph:
The stability of American political life encourages us to
assume that the relationship between political parties and
issues is constant over time. The profound change in party
alignment produced by the issue of civil rights is readily
recalled. But beyond this, we assume that the Republicans
are the party of a strong national defence, a tough stand on
crime and lower taxes. Similarly, we assume that the
Democratic Party will do a better job with education,
protecting the environment and advancing civil rights. We
perceive the relationship between parties and issues to be
static. However, some public policy issues on the national
agenda are significant to such a large segment of the
electorate that neither party can simply cede the issue to
the other party. All Americans want a good economy, and all
parents want a good education for their children. We should
expect that both parties will offer initiatives and take
steps to create a positively perceived association between
their party and many important issues. Particularly in an
era when party identification in the electorate is so
closely divided between the two major parties (Wirls, 2001),
it becomes even more important for the parties to compete
for credibility on issues. Much like business competitors,
parties challenge each other directly on issues and are not
content to divide up the universe of issues and partition a
space for themselves.
- Figures and
Tables:
- Figure 1. Which party do you trust to do a better job
with education, taxes, the economy, inflation and
unemployment?
- Figure 2. Which party do you trust to do a better job
with keeping the United States prosperous?
- Figure 3. Which party do you trust to do a better job
with keeping the United States out of war?
- Table 1. Components of comparative party evaluations.
Dependent variable: Democratic advantage on doing a
better job with the issue
- Table 2. Components of comparative party evaluations,
1952-2001. Dependent variable: Democratic advantage in
doing a better job with the issue
- Table 3. Comparative party evaluations and the
congressional vote, 1952-2000. Dependent variable:
Democratic percentage of the House vote
First Paragraph of
Conclusion:
The results presented here indicate that the comparative
party evaluations have a unique usefulness in the analysis
of the public preferences. Despite the independent movement
of the seven series, there are common predictors of movement
in public opinion about the parties' abilities to handle
issues. In the long series, a winning presidential campaign
moves opinion favourably towards the party and a positive
assessment of its capacity to handle issues. In the longer
series, even without an institutional platform, the campaign
phenomenon can change opinion. In the shorter series, we see
that the presidential out-party benefits from having a solid
institutional platform in Congress from which to make its
case. If a party has control of an institutional platform,
it has an opportunity to create a favourable evaluation of
its party's capacity to handle an issue relative to the
president's party. And, finally, for the president, strong
public approval enhances the public perception of the
party's ability to handle issues. Conversely, approval of
Congress decreases public confidence in the congressional
majority party's ability to do a better job with an issue
relative to the opposing party.
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