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Csaba Nikolenyi,
"Recognition Rules, Party Labels and the Number of Parties
in India: A Research Note," Party Politics, 14
(March, 2008), 211-222.
First paragraph:
According to Duverger's (1954) famous dictum regarding the
relationship between the electoral rule and the number of
parties, the first-past-the-post electoral rule should lead
to a two-party system. Strictly speaking, the logic of this
prediction applies only to party competition at the district
level, but Duverger (1954: 288) himself assumed that local
two-party equilibria would be aggregated upward to produce a
national two-party system. However, recent research has
shown that a Duvergerian two-party equilibrium emerges only
under special circumstances at the district level (Cox,
1997; Gaines, 1999) and that beyond the districts the number
of parties is governed by the process of party aggregation,
itself a product of factors other than the electoral system
alone. Such factors may include the degree of economic
centralization (Chhibber, 1999; Chhibber and Kollman, 1998,
2004); party finance rules; the pursuit of upper-tier seats
in the national legislature; the pursuit of a powerful
presidency; or, in parliamentary systems, strong linkage
between plurality status and formateur role in the
government formation process (Cox, 1997, 1999).
- Figures and
Tables:
- Figure 1. Impact of the actual on the effective
number of parties in India, 1952-2004
- Figure 2. Number of parties in Indian elections, by
type
- Figure 3. Effective number of parties in India, 1952
to 2004
Last paragraph:
Conventional wisdom attributes a central role to the
electoral formula in shaping the number of parties in a
polity. Yet, in cases, such as India's, where the number of
parties, both actual and effective, changes significantly
despite stability in the electoral rule, one must consider
the possible impact of other relevant political
institutions. I have pointed to the ways in which one such
set of institutions, namely party recognition rules, has
shaped the development of the number of parties in India's
national party system over time. This, however, is not to
suggest that the electoral formula has been irrelevant.
Indeed, I have argued that the two sets of institutions have
interacted with one another: party recognition rules could
either mitigate the reductive effect of the electoral
formula by encouraging an increase in the actual number of
parties, or enhance the reductive effect of the plurality
system by providing incentives for the formation of large
national parties, as was the case early on after
Independence.
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