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Sean M. Theriault, "Party
Polarization in the US Congress: Member Replacement and
Member Adaptation," Party Politics, 12 (July, 2006),
483-503.
First Paragraph:
The verbal assaults between the political parties in the
United States now mirror the war between good and evil in
professional wrestling. The antics in Congress over the past
few years include three-hour roll-call votes, discussion of
the 'nuclear option', charges of 'fruitcake' and the
transformation of the Ways and Means library into a fortress
by the panel's Democrats. As a bevy of media outlets
dissect, analyze and denounce these 'legislative' maneuvers,
the 'legislators' engage in their own form of hyperbole,
threats and verbal flexing. Indeed, Hulk Hogan would be
proud.
Figures and Tables:
Figure 1. Party polarization in the US House, 93rd to 108th
Congresses (1973-2004)
Figure 2. Party polarization in the US Senate, 93rd to 108th
Congresses (1973-2004)
Table 1. Polarization scores for Kentucky members in the
104th Congress
Table 2. Polarization by Congress for both the House and
Senate, 93rd to 108th Congresses (1973-2004)
Table 3. Adaptation in the Senate and House, 93rd to 108th
Congresses (1973-2004)
Table 4. Legislators with the highest adaptation scores
Table 5. Replacement in the Senate, 93rd to 108th Congresses
(1973-2004)
Table 6. Replacement in the House, 93rd to 108th Congresses
(1973-2004)
First Paragraph of Conclusion:
The analysis in this article analyzes the micro-level
changes in members' ideological scores to appreciate the
macro-level divergence of the political parties in Congress
since the 1970s. In so doing, I add evidence to confirm the
first consensus reached by the polarization studies. The
political parties in Congress are, indeed, more polarized
now than they were in the early 1970s. I find evidence,
however, that contradicts the second consensus. Without a
doubt, the replacement of moderate members by more
ideological members has driven the parties apart. But so,
too, has member adaptation, even including those legislators
who adapt to more moderate ideologies. More than one-third
of the polarization in both the House and the Senate results
from the adaptation of members to the ideological poles. As
both parties move closer and closer to their ideological
homes, Republicans in the Senate have moved three times
faster than Democrats, and their House colleagues have moved
just under twice as fast as House Democrats.
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