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Ian Budge and Michael D.
McDonald, "Choices Parties Define: Policy Alternatives in
Representative Elections, 17 Countries 1945-1998" Party
Politics, 12 (July, 2006), 451-466.
First Paragraph:
Recently, a new and detailed source of information on the
policies electors vote on has become available in the shape
of coded party manifestos (platforms) for a variety of
countries in the post-war period (Budge et al., 2001). In
many ways, this information is as important for
understanding the nature of modern elections as voting
surveys. Votes, after all, have to be cast so as to favour
particular parties and their programmes. Insofar as election
results influence the type of public policy to be pursued,
this can be done only in terms of the policies parties offer
as alternatives at the current election. Over time, of
course, parties and policy alternatives may change. The
remarkable stability of most party systems over the post-war
period suggests, however, that really radical change rarely
occurs (cf. Figures 1-4). Parties stick to fairly consistent
policy lines over time. Nevertheless, within ideological
limits they do move (cf. Figures 1-3). This suggests that it
is worthwhile estimating the policy positions they actually
take rather than just assuming them from the ideological
leanings of the party - even though, inevitably, we are
forced for some purposes to summarize the evidence by
presenting mean post-war positions for most countries and
parties. We try to get behind the aggregate figures,
however, by investigating what these signify in terms of the
underlying policy packages offered to electors on key issues
(Table 3).
Figures and Tables:
Table 1. Scoring a Left-Right scale on the basis of the
manifesto estimates
Figure 1. United States party movements on a Left-Right
scale, 1952-96
Figure 2. United Kingdom party movements on a Left-Right
scale, 1950-97
Figure 3. French party movements on a Left-Right scale,
1951-97
Figure 4. Distinctiveness of choices offered by parties
along the Left-Right dimension, by country over post-war
period
Table 2. Scoring party positions on welfare, military and
market policy on the basis of the manifesto estimates
Table 3. Policy packages offered by major parties in 17
post-war democracies
Last Paragraph:
It is worthwhile to look at general tendencies in the
choices that have faced electors over the series of post-war
elections. This we have done by locating average positions
for all parties in Left-Right terms (Figure 4) and analysing
the nature of the specific policy alternatives the major
parties normally combine into a package and place before the
electorate (Table 3). We have concluded that these do offer
real policy alternatives to electors, which are more or less
polarized (and conversely more or less overlapping) in
different countries, not so much because of different
institutional arrangements like PR and a multiparty system,
or SMD and limited parties, but because of parties'
strategic and policy choices in the past. These are probably
bound up with national history and the country's geographic
location rather than more narrowly defined institutional
factors. In the end, electors can vote for no more than what
the parties offer. Parties structure the electoral debate
and define the alternatives being voted on. What we have
shown here is that they do, in general, offer meaningful
alternatives, which electors can vote for to send a
reasonably clear message to the political elite about how
public policy should be adapted to their preferences.
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