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Benny Geys, "District
Magnitude, Social Heterogeneity and Local Party System
Fragmentation," Party Politics, 12 (March, 2006),
281-297.
First Paragraph:
The question about what shapes the party system has
attracted a great deal of scholarly attention. Most
basically, two approaches have been followed to answer it.
The 'institutional' approach emphasizes the role of
electoral laws (cf. Duverger, 1954), while the
'sociological' approach highlights the effect of
socio-economic differences or 'cleavages' in the population
(cf. Lipset and Rokkan, 1967). These elements have generally
been considered to be more or less isolated from one
another. However, recently, a number of scholars have put
forward the view that both elements may well interact with
one another (Amorim-Neto and Cox, 1997; Ordeshook and
Shvetsova, 1994). The argument is that 'a polity will have
many parties only if it both has many cleavages and has a
permissive enough electoral system' (Amorim- Neto and Cox,
1997: 155, emphasis in original). Cross-country evidence
provided in these studies is generally supportive of this
interactive model.
Figures and Tables:
Table 1. Summary statistics: average values (standard
deviation)
Table 2. Determinants of the number of parties - Lijphart
approach
Table 3. Determinants of the number of parties - Rae
approach
Appendix A. Determinants of the 'effective' number of
parties
Last Paragraph:
This article addresses these issues with Belgian
municipality-level data from municipal elections over the
period 1982-2000. We have included four measures of
socio-economic diversity and tested for independent and
interaction effects with electoral laws (i.e. district
magnitude). The main conclusion is that even in a sample
consisting only of moderately large multimember districts
the interaction effects significantly add to the explanatory
power of the model. This conclusion is not affected by our
handling of the data or the exact operationalization of the
dependent variable. The interpretation is that the influence
of socio-economic heterogeneity on the number of electoral
parties is significantly affected by the district magnitude,
and vice versa. Further research should investigate whether
this difference from Ordeshook and Shvetsova's (1994)
finding is explained by the use of constituency-level data
(e.g. by testing the model with national election results at
the district level, as in Vander Weyden, 2004).
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