|
Tatiana Kostadinova, "Party
Strategies and Voter Behavior in the East European Mixed
Election System," Party Politics, 12 (January, 2006),
121-143.
First Paragraph:
The final decade of the twentieth century saw a wide range
of electoral systems that combined majoritarian and
proportional representation (PR) rules in the election of
members of parliament. In several developed democracies,
high expectations for bringing together the best of the two
older systems encouraged the adoption of mixed election
rules. Complicated by design, these institutional
innovations confront all participants in the electoral
competition with serious challenges. Both political parties
and voters in countries with mixed electoral systems have to
adapt to two electoral principles, PR and plurality, which
generate contradictory incentives and presuppose coordinated
responses. Decisions over participation and choice are even
tougher at the beginning, because knowledge of how the new
system works and how the other participants are responding
is insufficient. This problem is especially serious in the
East European transitional environment. While in developed
democracies party leaders and voters possess certain skills
relating to that part of the election to which they were
previously exposed, similar experience is absent in the
post-Communist states.
Figures and Tables:
Figure 1. Hypothetical constituency distributions for four
parties
Table 1. Parties and candidates entering mixed-system
elections
Table 2. Constituency proportion distributions and coalition
strategy choices of parties in East European mixed-system
election
Table 3. Wasted vote in the PR part of mixed-system
elections in Croatia, Lithuania and Ukraine
Figure 2. Single-member district vote distribution in
mixed-system parliamentary elections in Croatia, Lithuania
and Ukraine
Table 4. Regression analysis of split-ticket voting: Croatia
1995, Lithuania 2000 and Ukraine 2002
Appendix. Mixed election systems in Croatia, Lithuania and
Ukraine
First Paragraph of Conclusion:
I began the investigation of party and voter behavior in
mixed-system elections with a recognition that the
combination of two methods with contradictory incentives
makes coordination of choices very difficult. Previous
research on the emergence of hybrid rules has indicated that
this problem is serious, and that building a better
understanding of how participants in those elections act is
important given the recent proliferation of combined systems
around the globe. Consequently, I: (1) develop a spatial
explanation of party decisions to enter coalitions in the
two tiers of competition, (2) identify factors that lead to
instances of strategic ballot-splitting by voters, and (3)
analyze the proposed effects using data from three East
European transitional democracies.
|