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Woojin Moon, "Decomposition
of Regional Voting in South Korea: Ideological Conflicts and
Regional Interests," Party Politics, 11 (September,
2005), 579-599.
First Paragraph:
According to modernization theory, urbanization, universal
education and development of transportation and
communication lead to the integration of ethnic, linguistic
and regional divisions in a country (Almond and Verba, 1963;
Deutsch, 1961). Recent political development in South Korea,
however, has unfolded in the opposite direction: two parties
have dominated each of two southern regions since the 1987
democratic reform. In the 16th National Assembly election
(NA election, hereafter) in 2000, the ruling New Millennium
Democratic Party won 66.8 percent of the vote in the
southwestern region (Honam) occupying 25 of the 29 seats.
The opposing Grand National Party won 56 percent of the vote
in the southeastern region (Youngnam) and swept into 64 of
the 65 seats..
Figures and Tables:
Table 1. Proportions of the natives and immigrants in each
region
Table 2. Voting decisions of a voter facing the two regional
parties
Figure 1. The effect of regional benefits on voters' voting
decision
Table 3. Ideological and regional components of electoral
support of regional candidates
Table 4. Ideological and regional components in extra
regional support
Table 5. Probability of supporting the ruling party in Honam
and Youngnam
Table 6. OLS estimates predicting regional voting
Table 7. OLS estimates predicting regional voting without
IDEOLOGY
Last Paragraph:
The electoral mechanism that I offer in this article offers
an answer: the impeachment of President Roh before the 17th
NA election made the difference between the GNP and the two
liberal parties more salient than the difference between the
GNP and the NMDP.12 Thus, liberal voters who had seen little
ideological difference between the GNP and the NMDP had
voted for their regional party (the GNP) in the 16th NA
election, but now voted for the UP or the DLP in the 17th NA
election because they found the ideological positions of
these two liberal parties more congruent with their ideology
than the NMDP. That is, liberal voters who had been swayed
by regional interests due to little ideological difference
between the GNP and NMDP in the 16th NA election now voted
for the UP or the DLP based on ideology. In sum, the more
salient the ideological differences between parties, the
more ideological voting is encouraged.
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