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Jeffrey D. Grynaviski, " The
Impact of Electoral Rules on Factional Competition in the
Democratic South, 1919-48," Party Politics, 10
(September, 2004), 499-519.
Second Paragraph:
In this article, the impact of
electoral rules on the factional systems that emerge in the
primaries of a one-party political system is investigated.
The objects of analysis are the Democratic primaries in the
ëConfederate Southí during the first half of the
20th century. Together, these cases provide the best example
of durable unipartism across a substantial area of time and
space when nominations were conducted by a primary election.
Extending the work of Canon (1978) and Black (1983) on
statewide factional structures, this article shows that Key
(1949) is correct that at the state level Southern states
did not typically follow the Duvergerian logic (Duverger,
1951) that for single-member districts there should be two
competitors in plurality-rule primaries and three or fewer
competitors in majority-rule with runoff primaries (Cox,
1997). However, the number of candidates in Southern
counties and parishes can be predicted by a stateís
electoral rules. The latter finding is novel and important
because it implies that some form of political communication
or organization structured elections at the local
level.
Figures and Tables:
Figure 1. ES -
Plurality-rule States
Figure 2. ES - Majority-rule with runoff states
Table 1. One-tailed t-tests: ES for gubernatorial
elections
Table 2. One-tailed t-tests: ES for senatorial
elections
Figure 3. EC - Plurality-rule States
Figure 4. EC - Majority-rule with runoff states
Table 3. One-tailed t-tests: EC for gubernatorial
elections
Table 4. One-tailed t-tests: EC for senatorial
elections
Table 5. Violations of Duvergerian logic in
gubernatorial elections
Last Paragraph:
In Southern Politics, Key conjectures that
electoral rules may have been an important influence on the
factional structures in the South. However, in the era when
he was writing, theories about the influence of electoral
laws on political systems had not been fully elaborated, and
for more than half a century Keyís insight has gone
largely unexamined. This article revisits Keyís
conjecture in light of advances in theory and measurement
and finds convincing evidence in favor of the influence of
electoral laws on local factional systems in the
region.
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