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Patrick Dunleavy and Françoise Boucek,
"Constructing the Number of Parties," Party Politics,
9 (May 2003), 291-315.
First Paragraph:
'Normal science' processes work by the accretion of
knowledge in cumulative, coral-reef fashion, allowing a
scientific consensus to emerge which can sustain further
work at the frontiers of knowledge, without constant
foundational critiques disturbing the core concepts and
theories of the discipline. In the study of political
parties, the effective number of parties index has gradually
reached a high level of acceptance since its first
exposition by Laakso and Taagepera (1979). The index is a
measure of the level of concentration in political life
which assigns more influence to large parties and screens
out very small parties in its computation: 'The assumption
in the comparative politics literature has long been that
some kind of weighting is necessary' (Lijphart, 1994: 67).
Influential authors such as Lijphart (1984) advocated the
general adoption of the measure, and 10 years later he
described it as 'the purest measure of the number of
parties' (Lijphart, 1994:70). He also claimed (p. 68) that:
'In modern comparative politics a high degree of consensus
has been reached on how exactly the number of parties should
be measured.' Lijphart's confidence in the measure has
continued to grow: 'The problem of how to count parties of
different sizes is solved by using the effective number
measure (Lijphart, 1999: 69).
However, we show here that the effective number of
parties is a somewhat flawed index, whose use in
quantitative analysis can create problems. [first
sentence of 2nd paragraph]
Figures and Tables:
Figure 1: The minimum and maximum limits of the space for
the 'effective number of parties' families of indices
Figure 2: How the shape of the space for the effective
number of parties varies with the number of relevant
parties
Figure 3: How the post-war election results for seven
liberal democracies are distributed across the space of the
effective number of parties index
Figure 4: The behaviour of effective number of parties
indices around the 50 percent anchor point, under minimum
fragmentation conditions
Figure 5: How the shape of the modified effective number of
parties index (Nb) varies with the number of relevant
parties
Figure A1: How the shape of the space for the Molinar index
varies with the number of relevant parties
Figure A2: Comparing areas for the effective number of
parties index (N2) and the Molinar index with seven relevant
parties
Last Paragraph:
As the movement continues away from older typologies of
party systems and towards a more empirically sensitive
description of party systems, correctly constructing the
number of parties remains a very important issue (Ware,
1995). Dimensionalizing party systems with multiple
indicators remains a promising agenda for research, but we
should proceed more sceptically than in the past. There is
no perfect number of parties index, but we have set out
reasons why Nb scores are preferable to raw N2 numbers in
our view, and why spatialized Nb or N2 scores are better
still. Finally, we have used a basic method here of looking
at the spaces within which index scores are feasible,
defined by minimum and maximum party fragmentation
conditions at varying levels of V1 and under different
numbers of relevant parties. We believe that this approach
offers a valuable way of comprehensively evaluating the
properties of any new party concentration measures (and
indeed other indices) which may be proposed in future. It is
vital that the behaviour of indices under the full range of
possible conditions is systematically mapped from the
outset, instead of years after they were first proposed.
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