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Jeffrey A. Karp and Susan A.
Banducci, "Issues and Party Competition Under Alternative
Electoral Systems," Party Politics, January 2002,
vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 123-141
First Paragraph:
Although the spatial model of
elections has been a predominant paradigm in election
studies, it has been criticized because of an empirical
anomaly that parties tend to take more extreme positions
than those of their voters. Recent debates over the
usefulness of the Downsian model to explain party and voter
behaviour have highlighted alternative models that account
for the disparities between voter and elite issue positions
(Iversen, 1994; Macdonald and Rabinowitz, 1989; Macdonald et
al., 1991; Rabinowitz et al., 1991). Whereas the proximity
or Downsian model predicts that parties are likely to adopt
positions that are closer to their voters, the alternative
directional model predicts that parties will adopt more
extreme positions in order to generate political support
among an electorate that has diffuse policy interests
(Macdonald and Rabinowitz, 1989; Macdonald et al., 1991;
Rabinowitz et al., 1991). Each model yields different
predictions under alternative electoral rules.
Figures and Tables:
Table 1. Electoral outcomes for
New Zealand political parties (%)
Figure 1. Party positions under FPP and PR rules
Table 2. Proximity model: OLS estimates
Table 3. Proximity model: OLS estimates
Last Paragraph:
While we expected the
directional model to be less applicable under PR, we find
that it actually performs better. Parties on average took
more divergent positions than they had in the past and
support for these parties appears best explained by taking
into account the intensity of preference. The differences in
the explanatory power of the models, though, tend to be only
slight. Overall, both of these issue-based models of party
rankings perform better under PR than under FPP, suggesting
that congruence between voters and parties on issues
(however measured) improves under PR.
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