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Paul V. Warwick, "Toward a
Common Dimensionality in West European Policy Spaces,"
Party Politics, January 2002, vol. 8, no. 1, pp.
101-122.
First Paragraph:
One of the most active areas of
research on liberal democracies concerns the compositions,
policies and survival prospects of coalition governments in
West European parliamentary systems. This literature has
been profuse both in empirical studies exploring possible
causal influences on coalition behavior as well as in
theoretical formulations, particularly formal theoretical
formulations, designed to account for coalition outcomes.
Despite this activity, how much we know with reasonable
certainty remains unclear: the empirical work often focuses
on hypotheses and relationships rather than on fully
developed theories, while the theoretical literature tends
to operate at a level of complexity and abstraction that
makes empirical testing diffi- cult. Ideally, what the topic
needs is a stronger linkage between theory and
testing.
Figures and Tables:
Table 1. Principal components
analysis of Laver and Hunts eight cross-national issues
Table 2. Party system dispersion along LH components
Table 3. Principal components analysis of party manifestos
(CMP) data
Table 4. Second-stage principal components analysis of LH
and CMP components
Table 5. Party system dispersion along CMP components
Last Paragraph:
In addressing these
reservations, the key step will be to determine how well
party positions on the three dimensions posited here, and
derived from the two sources utilized here, contribute to
explaining parliamentary and coalition behavior. This step
is not as easily broached as it might appear, for its
success is conditional on our knowing which theories ought
to perform well in this regard. In other words, we cant
judge the data confidently until we know that we have good
theories, just as we cant judge the theories convincingly
until we know we have good data. What the present analysis
has shown is that it may be reasonable to conceive of policy
spaces in West European democratic systems as composed of
various combinations of dimensions drawn from a common set
of three and, secondarily, that currently available expert
and manifesto data might yield good measures of party
positions on these dimensions. It would certainly be a boon
to the study of democratic government if the thorny issue of
measuring policy spaces turns out to be so readily
resolvable, but a good deal of further work will be required
before we know whether this is indeed the case.
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