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John T. Ishiyama, "Candidate
Recruitment and The Development of Russian Political
Parties, 1993-99," Party Politics, 7 (July 2001),
387-411.
First Paragraph:
In recent years there has been increasing debate over the
development of 'parties' in post-communist Russian politics
(Fish, 1995a, 1995b, 1997; Gel'man and Golosov, 1998;
Golosov, 1995, 1997, 1998; Haspel et al., 1998; Ishiyama,
1996, 1998, 1999a; Lowenhardt, 1998; McFaul and Markov,
1993; McFaul and Petrov, 1995; Moser, 1998, 1999;
Pashentsev, 1999; Remington and Smith, 1995, 1998). As some
scholars have noted, however, specific discussion of Russian
parties in light of existing theories on party development,
organization and behavior has been generally absent from the
debate (Webb and Lewis, 1998: 261). Part of the reason is
that there is little consensus over whether or not 'real'
parties are developing in post-communist Russian politics.
On the one hand, scholars have adopted a 'pessimistic' view,
noting that the Russian party system comprises transient
organizations with little continuity from one election to
the next, lacking organizational form, coherent ideological
programs and reliable social constituencies (Golosov, 1995;
Moser, 1999). Some scholars have even termed post-communist
Russia a 'non-party' country (Sakwa, 1995). On the other
hand, a more optimistic view holds that parties are indeed
forming in post-communist Russia and are playing an
increasingly important role in shaping post-Soviet Russian
politics (Fteron et al., 1998; Haspel et al., 1998;
Kitschelt, 1995; Remington and Smith, 1995).
Figures and
Tables:
Table 1: Estimated political cohesiveness of parliamentary
parties (December 1995) p. 396
Table 2: Votes and seats won by parties, 1993, 1995 and 1999
State Duma Elections p. 398
Table 3: Mean POLNOT Scores for the KPRF, LDPR, Yabloko,
1993, 1995, and 199 by population of largest city in
district p. 401
Table 4: Kendall's tau-b coefficients (POLNOT by UNITY
score) controlling for district urbanization, 1999 election
p. 403
Table 5: Coefficient estimates and collinearity diagnostics
for logistic regression for KPRF nominations, 1995 and 1999
State Duma elections p. 403
Table 6: Coefficient estimates and collinearity diagnostics
for logistic regression for LDPR nominations, 1995 and 1999
State Duma elections p. 404
Table 7: Coefficient estimates and collinearity diagnostics
for logistic regression for Yabloko nominations, 1995 and
1999 State Duma elections p. 405
Last Paragraph:
Furthermore, the one party which appears to have move in the
direction of concentrating its efforts at nominating
candidates to districts where its voter support was highest
(outside the districts in which it had won previously) is
the KPRE In 1999, the party clearly chose to nominate
candidates to districts outside its control, districts in
which it had received the greatest amount of electoral
support, regardless of whether a powerful opposing incumbent
was running. This suggests that the KPRF more than any other
has sought out its constituencies. Although the LDPR and
Yabloko have yet to do so (and the LDPR appeared to have
been particularly poor at nominating candidates to districts
where it had performed well), it remains to be seen if these
parties choose to mimic the KPRF and limit their nominations
to districts where they have a better chance of winning the
election. However, before anything conclusive can be said
about the future of the Russian parties, a great deal more
research must be conducted to ascertain the internal
dynamics of these parties and how their organizational
development has proceeded thus far. In particular, this
might provide valuable insight into what the 'typical'
future Russian party might look like. Will it be mass-like,
elite-driven, personal or perhaps 'non-charismatic
personal', as Ansell and Fish (1999) suggest? In any case,
it is far too premature to claim that there are (or are not)
real parties in Russia. Rather the process of the
development of Russian parties is far from complete, and is
likely to be as arduous, and take just as much time, as the
development of 'real parties' in the West.
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