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James Toole, "Government Formation and Party System
Stabilization in East Central Europe," Party
Politics, 6 (October 2000), 441-461.
First Paragraph:
The two most important ways of understanding the
stabilization of new party systems both have important
drawbacks. Analysis of electoral volatility, a product of
the party system literature that studies change and
stabilization in the electoral alignments linking parties to
voters, is justly valued for its ease of measurement and its
cross-national comparability, but it often overlooks aspects
of party system development that are not intimately related
to party-voter relations. Analysis of party system
consolidation, a product of the literature on regime
transition, examines virtually all aspects of party system
development but tends to lack clear operational definitions
and explicit, measurable standards.
Figures and Tables:
Table 1: Mair's party system model: closed and open
structures of competition
Table 2: East Central Europe: closed and open structures of
competition
Table 3: Party system stabilization and party system
turnover in east Central Europe
Table 4: Party system stabilization and fractionalization in
East Central Europe
Table 5: Party system stabilization and disproportionality
in East Central Europe
Table 6: Disproportionality and fractionalization in East
Central Europe
Table 7: Party system stabilization and electoral volatility
in East Central Europe
Table A1: Composition of Governments in East Central
Europe
Table A2: Party system turnover for Hungary, the Czech
Republic and Poland, 1990-8
Table A3: Calculation of PST for Hungary, the Czech Republic
and Poland
Last Paragraph:
Finally, new party systems can stabilize quickly. On-going
volatility in party--voter relations need not delay the
stabilization of the patterns of party competition that lie
at the heart of party system development. The Hungarian and
Czech cases suggest that, within a decade of transition,
core patterns of competition among political parties may
become nearly as routine as in mature party systems. Even in
changing political circumstances, where so many aspects of
life remain fluid, party systems can stabilize much earlier
than expected.
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