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Carsten Anckar, "Size and Party System Fragmentation,"
Party Politics, 6 (July 2000), 305-328.
First Paragraph:
In their seminal work Size and Democracy, Robert Dahl and
Edward Tufte (1973) discussed, among other things, the link
between size and party systems, suggesting that the size of
political entities affected the degree of fragmentation of
the party system. The explanation for this assumed
relationship was twofold. One argument was derived from
social-psychological theory-building, more specifically from
the well-known experiments on conformity conducted by S. E.
Asch. The other reason for the expected link between size
and party system fragmentation is about diversity. Large
size, the authors argue, leads by necessity to
organizational diversity and complexity. A large unit
presupposes a wide range of organizations and institutions,
which produce a high degree of specialization and
complexity. Therefore it is reasonable to expect that an
increase in size leads to an increase in attitudinal
diversity (DahI and Tufte, 1973: 30-40). From this
discussion of the arguments that DahI and Tufte lay down,
two hypotheses emerge, which will be tested in this
study:
Figures and Tables:
Table 1: Strength of association between size,
socio-economic differentiation, number of parties and party
system fragmentation in Finnish local elections, 1992 and
1996 (multiple regression)
Table 2: Strength of association between size, number of
parties and party system fragmentation in British local
elections, 1988-1992 (sample of 400 shires) (multiple
regression)
Table 3: Strength of association between size, effective
threshold, presidentialism, urbanization, ethnic-religious
fragmentation, number of parties and party system
fragmentation in 77 countries with free
party systems (multiple regression)
Table 4: Strength of association between size, effective
threshold, presidentialism, urbanization, ethnic-religious
fragmentation, number of parties and party system
fragmentation in countries with free party systems and
plurality electoral system (multiple regression)
Table 5: Strength of association between size, effective
threshold, presidentialism, urbanization, ethnic-religious
fragmentation, number of parties and party system
fragmentation in countries with free party systems and
proportional electoral systems (multiple regression)
Table A1: Size, degree of urbanization and level of
ethnic-religious fragmentation in countries with free party
systems
Table A2: Electoral system, effective threshold, form of
government, number of parties, electoral support for the
leading party and effective number of parties in countries
with free party systems
Last Paragraph:
Thus, the contribution of this present study to empirical
theory-building can be expressed in the following
statements.
1 -- The larger the size of a country, or a unit within a
country, the higher the number of parties. The rule applies
irrespective of electoral system.
2 -- The larger the size of a country, the lower the
electoral support for the leading party. The rule applies
irrespective of electoral system.
3 -- The larger the size of a country, the higher the
effective number of parties. The rule applies irrespective
of electoral system.
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