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David Altman, 'The Politics of Coalition Formation and
Survival in Multi-Party Presidential Democracies: The Case
of Uruguay, 1989-1999," Party Politics, 6 (July
2000), 259-283.
First Paragraph:
This paper tries to fill a lacuna in our understanding of
executive coalition formation under multi-party presidential
regimes. Because the study of executive coalitions under
this type of regime is in an incipient state, his work
borrows relevant insights from the study of
coalition-building under parliamentary regimes. This does
not mean, however, that it simply applies theories of
coalition behavior under parliamentary regimes to
presidential ones. On the contrary, this paper begins to
build a specific theory of coalition formation and
termination under presidential regimes using evidence from
Uruguay.
Figures and Tables:
Table 1: Ideological affinity between political
fractions
Figure 1: Model of coalition formation and survival
Figure 2: Probability of belonging to the executive
coalition for fractions of the president's party (PP) and
others (OP)
Table 3: Probabilities of belonging to the executive
coalition for fractions that belong to the president's party
(Bpp) and those fractions that do not belong to it (Bop)
Figure 3: Probability of being part of the executive
coalition based on the fairness of the agreement for a
fraction that belongs to the presinet's party
Figure 4: Probability of being part of the executive
coalition based on the fairness of the agreement for a
fraction that does not belong to the president's party
Table 4: Cabinet composition and legislative support in the
Lacalle government, 1990-95
Appendix: Party names and fractions
Last Paragraph:
Finally, Schofield and Laver's claim, that 'past analyses
have demonstrated that differences between countries are at
least as significant as those between theories' (1985: 143),
may be applicable to presidential regimes. It could be
argued that differences between multi-party presidential
regimes are at least as deep as differences between western
parliamentary regimes. Theories of coalition formation under
presidential regimes must be tested on both a general and a
country-by-country basis. Therefore, this piece only
partially illuminates coalition formation; additional
research is needed before more definite conclusions can be
drawn.
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