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Jonathan Knuckey, "Religious Conservatives, the
Republican Party and Evolving Party Coalitions in the United
States," Party Politics, 5 (October 1999),
485-496.
First Paragraph:
Since the early 1980s scholars have devoted considerable
attention to the political activity of religious
conservatives. Given their prominence within the
contemporary Republican Party (Wilcox, 1992, 1996; Oldfield,
1995, 1996; Rozell and Wilcox, 1995, 1996), two important
questions are: (1) how large a group are religious
conservatives in the mass electorate, and (2) how
distinctive are they in terms of their political behavior
when compared to other Republican identifiers? In answering
both questions, one must first establish criteria by which
religious conservatives can be identified. While there is a
considerable literature discussing the origins,
transformation and influence of religious conservatives in
American politics (e.g. Guth, 1983; Liebman, 1983; Moen,
1992; Wald, 1992; Wilcox, 1996), their empirical
identification has proved to be problematic, mainly as a
consequence of different operational definitions employed by
the extant literature.
Figures and Tables:
Table 1: the size of the partisan groups in the mass
electorate, 1996 (%)
Table 2: A multivariate model of voting behavior by partisan
groups in the 1996 presidential and US House elections
Table 3: Predicted probabilities of voting Republican by
partisan groups in the 1996 presidential and US House
elections
Table 4: Issue positions by partisan groups.
Last Paragraph:
By using the empirical definition of religious conservatives
in this paper, further research questions and hypotheses can
be pursued. Analysis of religious conservatives over time,
and over space (i.e. a state-by-state comparison), have been
problematic because of different operational definitions of
religious conservatives. A common operational definition is
thus an essential first step for such comparisons.
Additionally, by beginning with a broad definition, one can
begin to probe the differences among religious
conservatives, rather than treating them as a monolithic
faction within the Republican Party. One could also use the
definition to move beyond the mass level to the elite level
and identify the size and distinctiveness of religious
conservatives among party activists. Such approaches would
assist empirical research on the important topic of
religious conservatives in American politics, and
specifically their role and influence within the modern
Republican Party.
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